Essential Enemy
by Victor Johnson

Could the numbers get better after states reopen?

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Holly Yan writing for CNN:

“What happens next will likely depend on how rapidly the virus was spreading in a state before it reopened.

“If your R value is 0.95, it’s unlikely you can maintain a value of under 1 after you reopen,” Gu said.

But states with lower R values have more leeway – even if more people get exposed to the virus in public.

“If you go from 0.8 to 0.9, you’re still going to decrease” the overall spread, Gu said.”

This makes a strong case for moving to more rural parts of the country, even if only temporarily, in order to more safely partake in the new normal.